Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SYDNEY (AUSTRALIA), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 2 November 2023, Thursday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Taro Daniel

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.42
	2.8	1.4
	2.93	1.44
	2.62	1.44
	2.84	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.12)	1.41 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
33.9%

Taro Daniel
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shintaro Mochizuki's form might have worsened.

Taro Daniel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Taro Daniel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Taro Daniel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Taro Daniel Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Daniel will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mochizuki is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Daniel is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mochizuki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Daniel will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
31.10.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
30.10.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
21.10.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
20.10.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
19.10.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WWLWW
- Taro Daniel
ATP Challenger
31.10.23	Luke Saville - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
30.10.23	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Taro Daniel	Uchiyama Y. retired ✺
27.10.23	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Taro Daniel	2:1 ✺
26.10.23	Taro Daniel - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
24.10.23	Taro Daniel - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 W?LWW

Shintaro Mochizuki - Taro Daniel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide