Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Birmingham, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 June 2026, Thursday


	Sho Shimabukuro		Elias Ymer

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.78	1.93
	1.82	2.13
	1.76	1.95	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.77	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.91)	1.97 ↑ (1.79)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
52.6%

Elias Ymer
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Sho Shimabukuro - Elias Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Shimabukuro will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Ymer will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 103. Ymer is ranked ATP: 191.

Shimabukuro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ymer is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Shimabukuro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Ymer will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shimabukuro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Sho Shimabukuro - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.38%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
03.06.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLLW
- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
03.06.26	Elias Ymer - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
01.06.26	Elias Ymer - Hamish Stewart	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Elias Ymer - Anton Matusevich	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Elias Ymer - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	0:2 ✺
25.05.26	Elias Ymer - Saba Purtseladze	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.11.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Elias Ymer	2:1
ATP Wimbledon
27.06.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Elias Ymer	0:3

Sho Shimabukuro - Elias Ymer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide