Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Granby, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2025, Thursday


	Sho Shimabukuro		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.59	2.22	Watch
	1.58	2.38
	1.60	2.28	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.62	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.73)	2.18 ↑ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
57.2%

Rio Noguchi
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sho Shimabukuro - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Shimabukuro will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sho Shimabukuro will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 208. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 209.

Shimabukuro is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Noguchi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Noguchi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shimabukuro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Rio Noguchi - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.22%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
16.07.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Alexander Blockx - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:1 ✺
10.07.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Christian Langmo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
16.07.25	Rio Noguchi - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Rio Noguchi - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Rio Noguchi - Nicolas Arseneault	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Rio Noguchi - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
01.07.25	Rio Noguchi - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.04.25	Rio Noguchi - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0
ITF Tournaments
03.02.21	Sho Shimabukuro - Rio Noguchi	0:2

Sho Shimabukuro - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide