Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Shuai Zhang		Darja Vidmanova

	1	2
	1.8	1.91
	1.75	2
	1.82	1.94
	1.81	2.04
	1.81	1.98	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.82	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.58)	1.96 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shuai Zhang
52.1%

Darja Vidmanova
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shuai Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shuai Zhang's form might have worsened.

Darja Vidmanova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Darja Vidmanova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shuai Zhang than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shuai Zhang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darja Vidmanova than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Darja Vidmanova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Shuai Zhang - Darja Vidmanova Predictions

Users Predictions: Shuai Zhang will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Shuai Zhang will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zhang is ranked WTA: 114. Vidmanova is ranked WTA: 170.

Zhang has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Vidmanova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vidmanova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Zhang will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shuai Zhang
WTA US Open
19.08.25	Shuai Zhang - Mary Stoiana	2:0 ✺
WTA Montreal
26.07.25	Shuai Zhang - Destanee Aiava	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.07.25	Shuai Zhang - Harmony Tan	2:0 ✺
18.07.25	Shuai Zhang - Vendula Valdmannova	2:0 ✺
17.07.25	Shuai Zhang - Amelia Rajecki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 W?WWW
- Darja Vidmanova
WTA US Open
19.08.25	Darja Vidmanova - Maya Iyengar	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.08.25	Petra Marcinko - Darja Vidmanova	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	Darja Vidmanova - Amelia Honer	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Caty McNally - Darja Vidmanova	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Arianne Hartono - Darja Vidmanova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW

Shuai Zhang - Darja Vidmanova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide