Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday


	Shuai Zhang		Jelena Ostapenko

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.42
	2.89	1.39	Watch
	2.9	1.48
	2.95	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.46
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.4)	1.42 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shuai Zhang
32.8%

Jelena Ostapenko
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shuai Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shuai Zhang than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Shuai Zhang - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions

Users Predictions: Jelena Ostapenko will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhang is ranked WTA: 57. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 29.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ostapenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ostapenko is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zhang won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shuai Zhang
WTA Toronto
03.08.26	Yulia Putintseva - Shuai Zhang	0:2 ✺
WTA Washington
25.07.26	Shuai Zhang - Gabriela Knutson	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.26	Karolina Muchova - Shuai Zhang	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Bianca Vanessa Andreescu - Shuai Zhang	0:2 ✺
WTA Bad Homburg
20.06.26	Shuai Zhang - Elena Gabriela Ruse	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLWL
- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Wimbledon
03.07.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Antonia Ruzic	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Harriet Dart	2:1 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
26.06.26	Tatjana Maria - Jelena Ostapenko	Ostapenko J. Retired ✺
25.06.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Zeynep Sonmez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWW?W

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
08.03.19	Shuai Zhang - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2
WTA Roma
15.05.18	Shuai Zhang - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2

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