Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Lexington, KY, hard - Final

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lexington 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Shunsuke Mitsui		Raphael Perot

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Shunsuke Mitsui
36.8%

Raphael Perot
63.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shunsuke Mitsui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Raphael Perot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shunsuke Mitsui than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raphael Perot than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Mitsui is ranked ATP: 849. Perot is ranked ATP: 601.

Mitsui is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Perot is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Perot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Perot might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Perot will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mitsui won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shunsuke Mitsui
ITF Tournaments
11.10.25	Shunsuke Mitsui - Andrej Loncarevic	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Shunsuke Mitsui - Gianluca Brunkow	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Adhithya Ganesan - Shunsuke Mitsui	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Benjamin Willwerth - Shunsuke Mitsui	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Shunsuke Mitsui - Dhakshineswar Suresh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL
- Raphael Perot
ITF Tournaments
11.10.25	Jack Kennedy - Raphael Perot	1:2 ✺
10.10.25	Mathis Bondaz - Raphael Perot	0:2 ✺
09.10.25	Walid Ahouda - Raphael Perot	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Oliver Okonkwo - Raphael Perot	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Max Dahlin - Raphael Perot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW

ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Shunsuke Mitsui - Raphael Perot	1:2

Shunsuke Mitsui - Raphael Perot