Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Ljubljana, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday


	Simona Waltert		Darya Astakhova

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.8
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.4	3.05
	1.39	2.81	Watch
	1.41	2.77	Watch
	1.38	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.35)	2.82 ↓ (2.96)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simona Waltert
66.9%

Darya Astakhova
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simona Waltert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Darya Astakhova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simona Waltert than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Astakhova than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Simona Waltert - Darya Astakhova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Waltert is ranked WTA: 124. Astakhova is ranked WTA: 583.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Waltert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Waltert is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Waltert won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simona Waltert
ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Simona Waltert - Oleksandra Oliynykova	1:2 ✺
04.09.25	Simona Waltert - Carson Branstine	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Simona Waltert - Valentina Ryser	2:1 ✺
WTA US Open
21.08.25	Hina Inoue - Simona Waltert	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Daria Snigur - Simona Waltert	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWLW
- Darya Astakhova
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Darya Astakhova - Anca Alexia Todoni	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Darya Astakhova	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.08.25	Lina Gjorcheska - Darya Astakhova	Astakhova D. retired ✺
12.08.25	Zhibek Kulambayeva - Darya Astakhova	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Darya Astakhova - Lina Gjorcheska	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LW?WL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.07.22	Darya Astakhova - Simona Waltert	0:2

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