Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Manila, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday


	Simona Waltert		Lanlana Tararudee

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.33	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.42	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.66)	1.55 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simona Waltert
39.7%

Lanlana Tararudee
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simona Waltert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Simona Waltert's form might have worsened.

Lanlana Tararudee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lanlana Tararudee's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simona Waltert than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Simona Waltert, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanlana Tararudee than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lanlana Tararudee, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Simona Waltert - Lanlana Tararudee Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Waltert will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Tararudee will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Waltert: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Waltert (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Waltert is ranked WTA: 87. Tararudee is ranked WTA: 131.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Waltert may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Lanlana Tararudee - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.06%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simona Waltert
WTA Australian Open
18.01.26	Simona Waltert - Amanda Anisimova	0:2 ✺
WTA Hobart
10.01.26	Renata Zarazua - Simona Waltert	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Ava Beck - Simona Waltert	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.01.26	Simona Waltert - Daria Snigur	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Simona Waltert - Darja Vidmanova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLW
- Lanlana Tararudee
WTA Australian Open
19.01.26	Elise Mertens - Lanlana Tararudee	2:0 ✺
15.01.26	Lilli Tagger - Lanlana Tararudee	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Harriet Dart - Lanlana Tararudee	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Sofia Costoulas - Lanlana Tararudee	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.01.26	Tamara Zidansek - Lanlana Tararudee	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWL

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