Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday


	Simona Waltert		Tara Wurth

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.38	2.8
	1.38	3.09
	1.39	2.77	Watch
	1.39	2.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.44)	2.86 ↑ (2.52)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simona Waltert
67.3%

Tara Wurth
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simona Waltert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Tara Wurth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simona Waltert than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tara Wurth than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Simona Waltert - Tara Wurth Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Waltert will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Waltert is ranked WTA: 97. Wurth is ranked WTA: 224.

Waltert is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Wurth has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wurth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Waltert is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simona Waltert
ATP Challenger
16.10.25	Simona Waltert - Miriana Tona	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Simona Waltert - Luisina Giovannini	2:1 ✺
03.10.25	Simona Waltert - Lola Radivojevic	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Simona Waltert - Tiphanie Lemaitre	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Simona Waltert - Sinja Kraus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWW
- Tara Wurth
ATP Challenger
15.10.25	Eva Vedder - Tara Wurth	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Tara Wurth - Carole Monnet	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Tara Wurth - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Oksana Selekhmeteva - Tara Wurth	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Tara Wurth - Julia Grabher	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLL

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