Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tolentino, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday


	Tara Wurth		Arantxa Rus

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.72
	1.98	1.74	Watch
	2.12	1.67	Watch
	1.99	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.83)	1.72 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tara Wurth
46%

Arantxa Rus
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tara Wurth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Arantxa Rus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tara Wurth than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Tara Wurth - Arantxa Rus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Wurth is ranked WTA: 219. Rus is ranked WTA: 135.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Wurth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Tara Wurth - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Arantxa Rus - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tara Wurth
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Oksana Selekhmeteva - Tara Wurth	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Tara Wurth - Julia Grabher	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Lola Radivojevic - Tara Wurth	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
21.08.25	Varvara Gracheva - Tara Wurth	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Tara Wurth - Arina Rodionova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLW
- Arantxa Rus
ATP Challenger
11.09.25	Tamara Korpatsch - Arantxa Rus	2:1 ✺
11.09.25	Aliona Bolsova Zadoinov - Arantxa Rus	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Eva Vedder - Arantxa Rus	1:2 ✺
05.09.25	Maja Chwalinska - Arantxa Rus	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Tamara Korpatsch - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLW

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