Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: FRANCAVILLA (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday


	Simone Roncalli		Alexander Weis

	1	2
			Watch
	4.2	1.17
	3.89	1.22
	4	1.22	Watch
	4.55	1.17	Watch
	4.1	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (3.22)	1.19 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simone Roncalli
22.3%

Alexander Weis
77.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

71.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simone Roncalli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Simone Roncalli's form might have worsened.

Alexander Weis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Weis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simone Roncalli than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Simone Roncalli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Weis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Simone Roncalli - Alexander Weis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Roncalli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Weis is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simone Roncalli
ITF Tournaments
28.03.23	Simone Roncalli - Benjamin Pietri	0:2 ✺
24.03.23	Ray Ho - Simone Roncalli	2:1 ✺
23.03.23	Alexis Boureau - Simone Roncalli	1:2 ✺
21.03.23	M Rifqi Fitriadi - Simone Roncalli	1:2 ✺
18.03.23	Simone Roncalli - Olaf Pieczkowski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWL
- Alexander Weis
ATP Challenger
26.04.23	Alexander Weis - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
25.04.23	Fabian Marozsan - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
24.04.23	Ryan Nijboer - Alexander Weis	1:2 ✺
23.04.23	Ergi Kirkin - Alexander Weis	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.04.23	Julian Ocleppo - Alexander Weis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWL

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