Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: SAN DIEGO (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 12 September 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	O2 TV Tenis
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	CMore Live
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Sloane Stephens		Elise Mertens

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.06	1.76
	2.11	1.67
	2.27	1.69
	2.1	1.73
	2.13	1.72	Watch
	2.14	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.9)	1.71 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sloane Stephens
44.3%

Elise Mertens
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sloane Stephens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sloane Stephens's form might have worsened.

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elise Mertens's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sloane Stephens than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sloane Stephens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elise Mertens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45%	0%	55%

Sloane Stephens - Elise Mertens Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Stephens will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Mertens will win (votes: 11 - 55%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mertens: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Mertens could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Stephens won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sloane Stephens
WTA US Open
28.08.23	Sloane Stephens - Beatriz Haddad Maia	1:2 ✺
WTA Cleveland
24.08.23	Sloane Stephens - Sara Sorribes Tormo	0:2 ✺
24.08.23	Sloane Stephens - Mirra Andreeva	2:0 ✺
21.08.23	Sloane Stephens - Lauren Davis	2:1 ✺
21.08.23	Sloane Stephens - Julia Grabher	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWW?
- Elise Mertens
WTA US Open
01.09.23	Elise Mertens - Cori Gauff	1:2 ✺
30.08.23	Elise Mertens - Danielle Collins	2:1 ✺
28.08.23	Elise Mertens - Mirjam Bjorklund	2:1 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
16.08.23	Elise Mertens - Marie Bouzkova	1:2 ✺
15.08.23	Madison Keys - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
02.09.18	Sloane Stephens - Elise Mertens	2:0
WTA Cincinnati
16.08.18	Elise Mertens - Sloane Stephens	2:0

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