Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Sao Luis, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sao Luis 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca		Beatrice Stagno

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Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca
33.6%

Beatrice Stagno
66.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.7%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Beatrice Stagno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beatrice Stagno than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stagno (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Stagno (1.74) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1.5 Sets - Stagno (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Stagno (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Da Cruz Mendonca is ranked WTA: 904. Stagno is ranked WTA: 991.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Da Cruz Mendonca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Stagno might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca
ITF Tournaments
10.09.25	Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca - Maria Eduarda Lages	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Rebeca Pereira - Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca - Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca - Luiza Fullana	1:2 ✺
15.07.25	Romina Ccuno - Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLLW
- Beatrice Stagno
ITF Tournaments
10.09.25	Giulia Bajsic Leo - Beatrice Stagno	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Beatriz Dias - Beatrice Stagno	0:2 ✺
20.08.25	Beatrice Stagno - Camila Romero	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Lourdes Ayala - Beatrice Stagno	2:1 ✺
07.08.25	Beatrice Stagno - Victoria Bosio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WWLLL

Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca - Beatrice Stagno