Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Ust-Kamenogorsk 2 (Kazakhstan), hard - Final

Date: 11 August 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ust-Kamenogorsk 2 (Kazakhstan) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Sonja Zhiyenbayeva		Alisa Kummel

	1	2
	1.33	2.95
	1.35	2.85
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.37	2.92	Watch
	1.35	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.53)	2.91 ↑ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
68.3%

Alisa Kummel
31.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sonja Zhiyenbayeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sonja Zhiyenbayeva's performance.

Alisa Kummel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alisa Kummel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonja Zhiyenbayeva than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sonja Zhiyenbayeva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alisa Kummel than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alisa Kummel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sonja Zhiyenbayeva - Alisa Kummel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zhiyenbayeva is ranked WTA: 824. Kummel is ranked WTA: 768.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Zhiyenbayeva will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
ITF Tournaments
10.08.24	Varvara Panshina - Sonja Zhiyenbayeva	0:2 ✺
09.08.24	Ekaterina Shalimova - Sonja Zhiyenbayeva	0:2 ✺
08.08.24	Sonja Zhiyenbayeva - Daria Zelinskaya	2:0 ✺
07.08.24	Daria Shubina - Sonja Zhiyenbayeva	0:2 ✺
01.08.24	Dayeon Back - Sonja Zhiyenbayeva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWL
- Alisa Kummel
ITF Tournaments
10.08.24	Alisa Kummel - Kristiana Sidorova	Sidorova K. retired ✺
09.08.24	Alisa Kummel - Aglaya Fedorova	2:0 ✺
08.08.24	Alisa Kummel - Tatyana Nikolenko	2:0 ✺
07.08.24	Alisa Kummel - Daria Shadchneva	2:1 ✺
01.08.24	Sarah-Rebecca Sekulic - Alisa Kummel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 ?WWWL

Sonja Zhiyenbayeva - Alisa Kummel

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Sonja Zhiyenbayeva - Alisa Kummel Predictions

Preview

Form

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