Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday


	Sorana Cirstea		Hailey Baptiste

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.97	1.84	Watch
	1.97	1.91
	1.92	1.86	Watch
	1.95	1.85
	1.92	1.88	Watch
	1.97	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.73)	1.85 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sorana Cirstea
48.7%

Hailey Baptiste
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sorana Cirstea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sorana Cirstea's form might have worsened.

Hailey Baptiste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hailey Baptiste's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorana Cirstea than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sorana Cirstea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hailey Baptiste than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hailey Baptiste, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	0%	46.7%

Sorana Cirstea - Hailey Baptiste Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Cirstea will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Baptiste will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cirstea: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cirstea (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cirstea is ranked WTA: 119. Baptiste is ranked WTA: 86.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Cirstea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sorana Cirstea
ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Sorana Cirstea - Francesca Jones	Canceled ✺
WTA Miami
20.03.25	Sorana Cirstea - Danielle Collins	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Sorana Cirstea - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
08.03.25	Emma Navarro - Sorana Cirstea	2:1 ✺
06.03.25	Sorana Cirstea - Maya Joint	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?LWLW
- Hailey Baptiste
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
13.04.25	Renata Jamrichova - Hailey Baptiste	0:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
02.04.25	Hailey Baptiste - Emma Navarro	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Olivia Gadecki - Hailey Baptiste	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Hailey Baptiste - Linda Fruhvirtova	Fruhvirtova L. walkover ✺
WTA Miami
22.03.25	Hailey Baptiste - Naomi Osaka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLW?L

Sorana Cirstea - Hailey Baptiste: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide