Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chicago - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday


	Spencer Johnson		Dan Martin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.37	2.7	Watch
	1.4	2.88
	1.46	2.46	Watch
	1.39	2.85	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.85)	2.55 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spencer Johnson
63%

Dan Martin
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spencer Johnson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spencer Johnson's performance.

Dan Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dan Martin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spencer Johnson than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spencer Johnson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dan Martin than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dan Martin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Spencer Johnson - Dan Martin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Johnson will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Martin will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Preview

Johnson is ranked ATP: 932. Martin is ranked ATP: 560.

Johnson has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Martin is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Martin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spencer Johnson
ITF Tournaments
30.07.25	Mikael Arseneault - Spencer Johnson	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
21.07.25	Tung-Lin Wu - Spencer Johnson	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Spencer Johnson - Hyeon Chung	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.07.25	Spencer Johnson - Dane Sweeny	1:2 ✺
11.07.25	Savriyan Danilov - Spencer Johnson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 ?LWLW
- Dan Martin
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Dan Martin - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
27.07.25	Taro Daniel - Dan Martin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.25	Dan Martin - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
07.07.25	Dan Martin - Aidan Mayo	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Blaise Bicknell - Dan Martin	Martin D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLL?

Spencer Johnson - Dan Martin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide