Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday


	Spencer Johnson		Andres Martin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.55	2.31	Watch
	1.63	2.42
	1.54	2.34	Watch
	1.59	2.35	Watch
	1.59	2.22	Watch
	1.55	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.7)	2.33 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spencer Johnson
59.8%

Andres Martin
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spencer Johnson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spencer Johnson's performance.

Andres Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andres Martin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spencer Johnson than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spencer Johnson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andres Martin than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andres Martin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Spencer Johnson - Andres Martin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Johnson is ranked ATP: 524. Martin is ranked ATP: 340.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Johnson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Johnson might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spencer Johnson
ATP Challenger
06.08.26	Spencer Johnson - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Moez Echargui - Spencer Johnson	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Ryan Colby - Spencer Johnson	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Matthew Forbes - Spencer Johnson	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Spencer Johnson - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWL
- Andres Martin
ATP Challenger
06.08.26	Andres Martin - Millen Hurrion	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Nicolas Arseneault - Andres Martin	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Andres Martin - Trevor Svajda	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Andres Martin - Alex Kobelt	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
28.07.26	Ugo Humbert - Andres Martin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWL

Spencer Johnson - Andres Martin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide