Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday


	Spencer Johnson		Jay Dylan Hara Friend

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.79	1.92	Watch
	1.87	2
	1.79	1.94	Watch
	1.82	1.98
	1.78	1.9	Watch
	1.79	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.15)	1.94 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spencer Johnson
51.9%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spencer Johnson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spencer Johnson's performance.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jay Dylan Hara Friend might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spencer Johnson than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Dylan Hara Friend than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Spencer Johnson - Jay Dylan Hara Friend Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Johnson will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Hara Friend will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Johnson is ranked ATP: 524. Hara Friend is ranked ATP: 314.

Johnson has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hara Friend is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Johnson may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Hara Friend will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Johnson won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spencer Johnson
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Moez Echargui - Spencer Johnson	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Ryan Colby - Spencer Johnson	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Matthew Forbes - Spencer Johnson	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Spencer Johnson - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Spencer Johnson	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLL
- Jay Dylan Hara Friend
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Jeffrey John Wolf	0:2 ✺
30.07.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Toby Samuel	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Liam Broady - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Spencer Johnson - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2

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