Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: PARIS (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 30 October 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: PARIS (FRANCE) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	23:45	SportKlub
Brazil	19:45	ESPN 3
Bulgaria	00:45	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 2
Croatia	23:45	SportKlub
Czech Republic	23:45	Eurosport 2
Denmark	23:45	TV2 Sport X
France	23:45	Eurosport 1
Germany	23:45	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Serbia	23:45	SportKlub
Slovenia	23:45	SportKlub


	Stanislas Wawrinka		Dominic Thiem

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2	1.78
	2	1.82	Watch
	2.06	1.84
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.21	1.67	Watch
	2.12	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.87)	1.74 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stanislas Wawrinka
45.2%

Dominic Thiem
54.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Dominic Thiem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.6%	0%	56.4%

Stanislas Wawrinka - Dominic Thiem Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Wawrinka will win (votes: 17 - 43.6%). Thiem will win (votes: 22 - 56.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thiem: 40.8% – 72%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Wawrinka is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Thiem is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Thiem could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Thiem will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wawrinka won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Paris
30.10.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Matteo Arnaldi	Canceled ✺
ATP Basel
24.10.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
19.10.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
17.10.23	Borna Gojo - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.23	Dusan Lajovic - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ?LLWL
- Dominic Thiem
ATP Paris
29.10.23	Dominic Thiem - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
24.10.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
ATP Antwerp
19.10.23	Dominic Thiem - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
17.10.23	Luca Nardi - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition Tie Break Tens Men
05.03.19	Stanislas Wawrinka - Dominic Thiem	1:0
ATP Indian Wells
16.03.17	Stanislas Wawrinka - Dominic Thiem	2:1
ATP Roma
14.05.15	Stanislas Wawrinka - Dominic Thiem	2:0
ATP Paris
29.10.14	Dominic Thiem - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2
ATP Madrid
06.05.14	Dominic Thiem - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1

Stanislas Wawrinka - Dominic Thiem