Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: PARIS (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR)

Date: 30 October 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: PARIS (FRANCE) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard


	Stanislas Wawrinka		Matteo Arnaldi

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Stanislas Wawrinka
51.6%

Matteo Arnaldi
48.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.7%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stanislas Wawrinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Arnaldi Matteo - withdrawn.

Wawrinka is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Arnaldi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wawrinka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Basel
24.10.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
19.10.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
17.10.23	Borna Gojo - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.23	Dusan Lajovic - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
ATP Astana
28.09.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLL
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Vienna
26.10.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
23.10.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
09.10.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Jeffrey John Wolf	1:2 ✺
07.10.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
05.10.23	Alexei Popyrin - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW

Stanislas Wawrinka - Matteo Arnaldi