Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ANTWERP (BELGIUM), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 17 October 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Luca Nardi		Dominic Thiem

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.2	1.65	Watch
	2.23	1.67
	2.27	1.7
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.75)	1.65 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
42.1%

Dominic Thiem
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Nardi's performance.

Dominic Thiem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dominic Thiem might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Nardi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dominic Thiem could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Luca Nardi - Dominic Thiem Predictions

Users Predictions: Dominic Thiem will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Nardi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Thiem will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
14.10.23	Joris De Loore - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
13.10.23	Damir Dzumhur - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
11.10.23	Andrew Paulson - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
09.10.23	Luca Nardi - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
06.10.23	Tomas Machac - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWL
- Dominic Thiem
ATP Challenger
12.10.23	Dominic Thiem - Gabriel Diallo	1:2 ✺
10.10.23	Dominic Thiem - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
ATP Astana
01.10.23	Dominic Thiem - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Marcos Giron - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
28.09.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWW

Luca Nardi - Dominic Thiem: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide