Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ASTANA (KAZAKHSTAN), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 September 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Sport TV6
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Stanislas Wawrinka		Marcos Giron

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.52	2.45	Watch
	1.56	2.45
	1.58	2.53
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.45	Watch
	1.53	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.45)	2.45 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stanislas Wawrinka
61.3%

Marcos Giron
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Marcos Giron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stanislas Wawrinka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marcos Giron, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Stanislas Wawrinka - Marcos Giron Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Wawrinka will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Giron will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wawrinka: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Wawrinka is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Giron is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Giron could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Wawrinka will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stanislas Wawrinka
Davis Cup World Group
15.09.23	Cameron Norrie - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
12.09.23	Ugo Humbert - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Jannik Sinner	1:3 ✺
31.08.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:3 ✺
29.08.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Yoshihito Nishioka	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWW
- Marcos Giron
ATP Chengdu
23.09.23	Marcos Giron - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
21.09.23	Alexander Bublik - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Marcos Giron - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.23	Michael Mmoh - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.23	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL

Stanislas Wawrinka - Marcos Giron: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide