Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: CHENGDU (CHINA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 21 September 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Alexander Bublik		Marcos Giron

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.15	Watch
	1.63	2.16
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.64	2.26	Watch
	1.66	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.61)	2.2 ↑ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
57%

Marcos Giron
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Marcos Giron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Alexander Bublik - Marcos Giron Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Bublik is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Giron is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Giron could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bublik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
Davis Cup World Group I
17.09.23	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
16.09.23	Yanaki Milev - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Alexander Bublik - Dominic Thiem	0:3 ✺
ATP Toronto
07.08.23	Alexander Bublik - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
02.08.23	Gael Monfils - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLL
- Marcos Giron
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Marcos Giron - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.23	Michael Mmoh - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.23	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
10.08.23	Tommy Paul - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
09.08.23	Marcos Giron - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Geneva
22.05.23	Alexander Bublik - Marcos Giron	0:2
ATP Roma
09.05.22	Alexander Bublik - Marcos Giron	1:2
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.21	Alexander Bublik - Marcos Giron	2:1

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