Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CARY (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 7 August 2023, Monday


	Stefan Dostanic		Yuki Mochizuki

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.8
	1.39	2.92
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.33	3.13	Watch
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.73)	3.01 ↑ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefan Dostanic
69%

Yuki Mochizuki
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefan Dostanic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefan Dostanic's performance.

Yuki Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yuki Mochizuki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefan Dostanic than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefan Dostanic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuki Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yuki Mochizuki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Dostanic is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mochizuki is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mochizuki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefan Dostanic
ATP Challenger
06.08.23	Philip Sekulic - Stefan Dostanic	1:2 ✺
01.08.23	Bernard Tomic - Stefan Dostanic	2:1 ✺
31.07.23	Blake Ellis - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
30.07.23	Alexander Bernard - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.07.23	Andre Ilagan - Stefan Dostanic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWW
- Yuki Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
06.08.23	Evan King - Yuki Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
01.08.23	Cannon Kingsley - Yuki Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
31.07.23	Yuki Mochizuki - Makoto Ochi	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Yuki Mochizuki - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.07.23	Yuki Mochizuki - Vito Tonejc	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWL

Stefan Dostanic - Yuki Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide