Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MERIDA (MEXICO), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 March 2024, Monday


	Stefan Kozlov		Federico Gaio

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.75	2.1
	1.75	2.1
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.88	1.86	Watch
	1.83	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.87)	1.94 ↑ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stefan Kozlov
51.9%

Federico Gaio
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefan Kozlov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Federico Gaio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefan Kozlov than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Gaio than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Stefan Kozlov - Federico Gaio Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Kozlov will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Gaio will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Kozlov is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gaio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kozlov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefan Kozlov
ATP Challenger
08.03.24	Kamil Majchrzak - Stefan Kozlov	2:0 ✺
07.03.24	Stefan Kozlov - Benjamin Lock	2:1 ✺
05.03.24	Stefan Kozlov - Noah Schachter	2:0 ✺
04.03.24	Stefan Kozlov - Ivan Denisov	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Stefan Kozlov - Christopher Bulus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWW
- Federico Gaio
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.24	Jurij Rodionov - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.02.24	Enrico Dalla Valle - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
26.02.24	Karan Singh - Federico Gaio	1:2 ✺
19.02.24	Federico Gaio - Mukund Sasikumar	0:2 ✺
24.01.24	Andre Ilagan - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Stefan Kozlov - Federico Gaio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide