Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Champaign, hard - Final

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Stefan Kozlov		Murphy Cassone

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
			Watch
	1.8	1.85	Watch
	1.89	1.98
	1.93	1.83	Watch
			Watch
	1.84	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.1)	1.87 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stefan Kozlov
50.1%

Murphy Cassone
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefan Kozlov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefan Kozlov's performance.

Murphy Cassone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Murphy Cassone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefan Kozlov than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefan Kozlov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Murphy Cassone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Stefan Kozlov - Murphy Cassone Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kozlov will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Cassone will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stefan Kozlov will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Kozlov is ranked ATP: 458. Cassone is ranked ATP: 245.

In recent matches, Kozlov has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cassone is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cassone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Cassone will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kozlov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefan Kozlov
ATP Challenger
15.11.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Stefan Kozlov	Stebe C. retired ✺
14.11.25	Darwin Blanch - Stefan Kozlov	1:2 ✺
13.11.25	Stefan Kozlov - Tyler Zink	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Stefan Kozlov - Leo Borg	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Stefan Kozlov - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 ?WWWL
- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
15.11.25	Murphy Cassone - Kenta Miyoshi	2:1 ✺
14.11.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
12.11.25	Aidan McHugh - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
10.11.25	Hoyoung Roh - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Murphy Cassone - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.10.24	Murphy Cassone - Stefan Kozlov	Cassone M. walkover

Stefan Kozlov - Murphy Cassone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide