Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Cattolica, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cattolica 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Stefano DAgostino		Carlo Alberto Caniato

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Stefano DAgostino
25.3%

Carlo Alberto Caniato
74.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano DAgostino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stefano DAgostino's form might have worsened.

Carlo Alberto Caniato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlo Alberto Caniato's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano DAgostino than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlo Alberto Caniato than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Caniato (votes: 2 - 100%).

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DAgostino is ranked ATP: 793. Caniato is ranked ATP: 813.

DAgostino is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Caniato's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Caniato is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano DAgostino
ITF Tournaments
05.06.25	Diego Fernandez Flores - Stefano DAgostino	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Freddy Blaydes - Stefano DAgostino	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Gabriel Elicha Navas - Stefano DAgostino	2:1 ✺
20.05.25	Stefano DAgostino - Lasse Poertner	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Stefano DAgostino - Filippo Speziali	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- Carlo Alberto Caniato
ITF Tournaments
05.06.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
03.06.25	Mika Petkovic - Carlo Alberto Caniato	1:2 ✺
30.05.25	Sebastian Dominko - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
30.05.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Jan Kupcic	2:0 ✺
27.05.25	Francesco Ferrari - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWW

Stefano DAgostino - Carlo Alberto Caniato