Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Store, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Store 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Stefano DAgostino		Luca Wiedenmann

	1	2
	2.05	1.65
	2.12	1.64
	2.13	1.73
	2.08	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.71
	2.08	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.8)	1.68 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano DAgostino
44.4%

Luca Wiedenmann
55.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano DAgostino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefano DAgostino's performance.

Luca Wiedenmann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Wiedenmann might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano DAgostino than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefano DAgostino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Wiedenmann than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Wiedenmann could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Stefano DAgostino - Luca Wiedenmann Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. DAgostino will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Wiedenmann will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. DAgostino (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 Games - DAgostino (2.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. DAgostino (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

DAgostino is ranked ATP: 831. Wiedenmann is ranked ATP: 605.

DAgostino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wiedenmann is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Wiedenmann may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wiedenmann is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Wiedenmann will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano DAgostino
ITF Tournaments
03.07.26	Stefano DAgostino - Michael Savano	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Stefano DAgostino - Maximilian Figl	2:1 ✺
01.07.26	Maximilian Homberg - Stefano DAgostino	Canceled ✺
24.06.26	Stefano DAgostino - Federico Iannaccone	1:2 ✺
18.06.26	Stefano DAgostino - Georgii Kravchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WW?LL
- Luca Wiedenmann
ITF Tournaments
03.07.26	Nikola Slavic - Luca Wiedenmann	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Adam Jilly - Luca Wiedenmann	1:2 ✺
01.07.26	Vaal Urankar - Luca Wiedenmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Luca Wiedenmann - Ryan Seggerman	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.06.26	Stefan Seifert - Luca Wiedenmann	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLW

Stefano DAgostino - Luca Wiedenmann

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Stefano DAgostino - Luca Wiedenmann Predictions

Preview

Form

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