Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sassuolo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday


	Stefano Napolitano		Jacopo Berrettini

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.15
			Watch
	1.49	2.57
			Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.49	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.68)	2.4 ↑ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Napolitano
61.1%

Jacopo Berrettini
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefano Napolitano's performance.

Jacopo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jacopo Berrettini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefano Napolitano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacopo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jacopo Berrettini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stefano Napolitano - Jacopo Berrettini Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Napolitano (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 Games - Napolitano (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Napolitano (votes: 3 - 100%).

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Preview

Napolitano is ranked ATP: 604. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 363.

Recent performances by Napolitano have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Berrettini is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Napolitano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
09.06.25	Oriol Roca Batalla - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
08.06.25	Stefano Napolitano - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
25.05.25	Stefano Napolitano - Gonzalo Bueno	Napolitano S. retired ✺
ATP Roland Garros
21.05.25	Stefano Napolitano - Kyrian Jacquet	1:2 ✺
19.05.25	Colton Smith - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LW?LW
- Jacopo Berrettini
ITF Tournaments
08.06.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
07.06.25	Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa - Jacopo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
06.06.25	Julio Cesar Porras - Jacopo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
05.06.25	Oscar Jose Gutierrez - Jacopo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
04.06.25	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Jacopo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.09.24	Stefano Napolitano - Jacopo Berrettini	1:2

Stefano Napolitano - Jacopo Berrettini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide