Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Vicenza - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday


	Stefano Napolitano		Gonzalo Bueno

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.59	2.21	Watch
	1.59	2.31
	1.55	2.36	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.59	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.83)	2.21 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Napolitano
57.9%

Gonzalo Bueno
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefano Napolitano's performance.

Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gonzalo Bueno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefano Napolitano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gonzalo Bueno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stefano Napolitano - Gonzalo Bueno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Napolitano is ranked ATP: 603. Bueno is ranked ATP: 326.

Napolitano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bueno has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Napolitano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Gonzalo Bueno - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Roland Garros
21.05.25	Stefano Napolitano - Kyrian Jacquet	1:2 ✺
19.05.25	Colton Smith - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Stefano Napolitano - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
28.04.25	David Pichler - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLWL
- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
19.05.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
12.05.25	Adrian Mannarino - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
06.05.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL

Stefano Napolitano - Gonzalo Bueno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide