Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GRODZISK MAZOWIECKI (POLAND), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 August 2023, Tuesday


	Stefano Napolitano		Jules Marie

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.88	1.88
	1.92	1.92
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.82	Watch
	1.86	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.35)	1.86 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Napolitano
49.8%

Jules Marie
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefano Napolitano's performance.

Jules Marie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jules Marie might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefano Napolitano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jules Marie than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jules Marie could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Stefano Napolitano - Jules Marie Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Napolitano will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Marie will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napolitano: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Napolitano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Marie to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
28.07.23	David Goffin - Stefano Napolitano	2:1 ✺
27.07.23	Stefano Napolitano - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
26.07.23	Salvatore Caruso - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
24.07.23	Gonzalo Villanueva - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
23.07.23	Federico Iannaccone - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWW
- Jules Marie
ATP Challenger
05.08.23	Jules Marie - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
04.08.23	Jules Marie - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
03.08.23	Gastao Elias - Jules Marie	0:2 ✺
01.08.23	Jules Marie - Benjamin Lock	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.07.23	Jules Marie - Kenny De Schepper	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWWW

Stefano Napolitano - Jules Marie: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide