Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: VERONA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 27 July 2023, Thursday


	Stefano Napolitano		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.65	2.2
	1.72	2.17
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.5)	2.2 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Napolitano
57.5%

Lukas Neumayer
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stefano Napolitano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lukas Neumayer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Stefano Napolitano - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: Stefano Napolitano will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Napolitano is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Neumayer is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Napolitano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Napolitano will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
26.07.23	Salvatore Caruso - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
24.07.23	Gonzalo Villanueva - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
23.07.23	Federico Iannaccone - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
21.07.23	Stefano Napolitano - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
20.07.23	Zdenek Kolar - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
26.07.23	Lukas Neumayer - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	Olivieri G. A. retired ✺
24.07.23	Lukas Neumayer - Peter Gojowczyk	2:0 ✺
23.07.23	Lukas Neumayer - Samuele Seghetti	2:0 ✺
18.07.23	Lukas Neumayer - Vitaliy Sachko	1:2 ✺
16.07.23	Lukas Neumayer - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ?WWLL

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