Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Stefano Napolitano		Maks Kasnikowski

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.83	1.91
	1.83	1.87
	1.84	2
	1.86	1.99	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.83	1.93	Watch
	1.83	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.51)	1.91 ↓ (2.32)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Napolitano
51.1%

Maks Kasnikowski
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stefano Napolitano's form might have worsened.

Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maks Kasnikowski's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stefano Napolitano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maks Kasnikowski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Stefano Napolitano - Maks Kasnikowski Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Napolitano will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Kasnikowski will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napolitano: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Napolitano is ranked ATP: 136. Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 194.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Napolitano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Napolitano
ATP US Open
20.08.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.07.24	Stefano Napolitano - Jan Choinski	Canceled ✺
ATP Gstaad
16.07.24	Gustavo Heide - Stefano Napolitano	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.24	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
24.06.24	Zsombor Piros - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 W?LLW
- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP US Open
20.08.24	Emilio Nava - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.08.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
23.07.24	Kamil Majchrzak - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
14.07.24	Titouan Droguet - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0 ✺
13.07.24	Remy Bertola - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLW

Stefano Napolitano - Maks Kasnikowski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide