Match Info

Date: 19 February 2020, Wednesday


	Stefano Travaglia		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	3.5	1.28	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.65	1.29	Watch
	3.56	1.25
	4.02	1.28
	3.5	1.3
	4	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.15)	1.28 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
25.9%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
74.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

71.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.3%	0%	67.7%

Stefano Travaglia - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Travaglia will win (votes: 20 - 32.3%). Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 42 - 67.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aliassime-Auger: 56.1% – 79.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
15.02.20	Benjamin Bonzi - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
14.02.20	Blaz Rola - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
13.02.20	Mohamed Safwat - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
11.02.20	Filippo Baldi - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
ATP Pune
05.02.20	Ilya Ivashka - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Rotterdam
16.02.20	Gael Monfils - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
15.02.20	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
14.02.20	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Aljaz Bedene	2:0 ✺
12.02.20	Grigor Dimitrov - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
11.02.20	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWWW

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