Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shanghai 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.60	1.28
	3.65	1.29	Watch
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.7	1.28
	3.77	1.29	Watch
	3.75	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↓ (5.1)	1.28 ↑ (1.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
25.5%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
74.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.5%

81.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pablo Carreno-Busta's performance.

Felix Aliassime-Auger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Felix Aliassime-Auger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliassime-Auger (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 65., and Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 6..

Carreno Busta is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Aliassime-Auger have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Aliassime-Auger could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Aliassime-Auger carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Carreno Busta has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Shanghai
10.10.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
08.10.26	Mariano Navone - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
02.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Adrian Mannarino - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Yi Zhou - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWW
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Shanghai
10.10.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
29.09.26	Karen Khachanov - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
19.09.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Quentin Halys	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Karen Khachanov	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rotterdam
15.02.20	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2

Pablo Carreno-Busta - Felix Aliassime-Auger