Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	Gael Monfils		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	5	1.17	Watch
	5.2	1.17	Watch
	5.01	1.21
	5.04	1.17	Watch
	5	1.17	Watch
	5.53	1.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.13 ↑ (4.13)	1.18 ↓ (1.23)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gael Monfils
18.7%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
81.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

77.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gael Monfils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Gael Monfils - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Monfils will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aliassime-Auger: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliassime-Auger (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Monfils (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Monfils (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aliassime-Auger (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Monfils is ranked ATP: 148. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 9.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Aliassime-Auger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aliassime-Auger is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Monfils won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gael Monfils
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Gael Monfils - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
25.02.26	Valentin Vacherot - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Damir Dzumhur - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Dane Sweeny - Gael Monfils	3:1 ✺
ATP Auckland
13.01.26	Fabian Marozsan - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLL
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Dubai
27.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
15.02.26	Alex De Minaur - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Laver Cup
22.09.23	Gael Monfils - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2
ATP Rotterdam
16.02.20	Gael Monfils - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0

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