Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Vicenza, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday


	Stefano Travaglia		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	1.95	Watch
	1.8	2.1
	1.74	1.97	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.78	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.57)	2.01 ↓ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
53.5%

Alejandro Moro Canas
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stefano Travaglia's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Moro Canas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stefano Travaglia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Moro Canas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Stefano Travaglia - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Travaglia will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Moro Canas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Travaglia is ranked ATP: 137. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 242.

Recent form of Travaglia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Moro Canas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Travaglia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Travaglia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Stefano Travaglia - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 59.3%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Alejandro Moro Canas - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.7%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Michael Zheng - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
18.05.26	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Stefano Travaglia - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Stefano Travaglia - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Stefano Travaglia - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
18.05.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Stefano Napolitano	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Tiago Torres	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Manas Manoj Dhamne	2:0 ✺
04.05.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Nishesh Basavareddy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.02.26	Stefano Travaglia - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2
27.04.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Stefano Travaglia	2:1

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