Match Info

Date: 23 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Stefano Travaglia		Michael Geerts

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.6
	2.25	1.62
	2.27	1.59
	2.36	1.61
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.26	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.03)	1.6 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
41.5%

Michael Geerts
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Michael Geerts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Stefano Travaglia - Michael Geerts Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Travaglia will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Geerts will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Geerts: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Travaglia has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Geerts is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Travaglia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
03.08.22	Stefano Travaglia - Nino Serdarusic	1:2 ✺
ATP Umag
23.07.22	Matija Pecotic - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
16.07.22	Stefano Travaglia - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.07.22	Arthur Fils - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
05.07.22	Mats Moraing - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
16.08.22	Michael Geerts - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
30.07.22	Michael Geerts - Constant Lestienne	1:2 ✺
29.07.22	Michael Geerts - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
28.07.22	Michael Geerts - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
26.07.22	Dmitry Popko - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWWW

Stefano Travaglia - Michael Geerts: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide