Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bergamo, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Stefano Travaglia		Marko Topo

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
			Watch
	1.84	1.87
	1.81	1.89	Watch
	1.82	1.86	Watch
	1.72	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.85)	1.89 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
51.2%

Marko Topo
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Marko Topo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Stefano Travaglia - Marko Topo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Topo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Marko Topo will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Travaglia is ranked ATP: 207. Topo is ranked ATP: 282.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Topo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Travaglia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
21.11.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Stefano Travaglia - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Stefano Travaglia - Matej Dodig	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Patrick Kypson - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Stefano Travaglia - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWLW
- Marko Topo
ATP Challenger
21.11.25	Francesco Passaro - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Marko Topo - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Matej Dodig - Marko Topo	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Patrick Kaukovalta - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.04.24	Stefano Travaglia - Marko Topo	2:0
ATP Hamburg
16.07.22	Stefano Travaglia - Marko Topo	0:2

Stefano Travaglia - Marko Topo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide