Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HELSINKI (FINLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 November 2022, Tuesday


	Stefano Travaglia		Mikhail Kukushkin

	1	2
	2	1.72	Watch
	2	1.72
	2.1	1.7
	2.06	1.74
	2.07	1.76
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.93	1.8	Watch
	1.87	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.01)	1.76 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
46.7%

Mikhail Kukushkin
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Stefano Travaglia - Mikhail Kukushkin Predictions

Users Predictions: Stefano Travaglia will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Travaglia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kukushkin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kukushkin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
14.11.22	Henri Squire - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Duje Ajdukovic - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
09.11.22	Stefano Travaglia - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
08.11.22	Altug Celikbilek - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
07.11.22	Andrew Paulson - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLWW
- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
14.11.22	Mikhail Kukushkin - Alexander Erler	2:0 ✺
13.11.22	Mikhail Kukushkin - Lucas Miedler	2:0 ✺
ATP Stockholm
15.10.22	Mikhail Kukushkin - Antoine Bellier	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.10.22	Jurij Rodionov - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
ATP Astana
04.10.22	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLL

Stefano Travaglia - Mikhail Kukushkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide