Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Helsinki, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday


	Stefano Travaglia		Stuart Parker

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.7	2	Watch
	1.79	2.06
	1.35	2.98	Watch
			Watch
	1.71	1.99	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.82)	2.21 ↑ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
57.2%

Stuart Parker
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefano Travaglia's performance.

Stuart Parker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stuart Parker might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefano Travaglia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuart Parker than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stuart Parker could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Stefano Travaglia - Stuart Parker Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Travaglia will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Parker will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Travaglia (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Travaglia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Travaglia is ranked ATP: 230. Parker is ranked ATP: 384.

Travaglia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Parker has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Parker may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Stuart Parker - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
27.10.25	Titouan Droguet - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Radovan Michalik - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Stefano Travaglia - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
06.10.25	Stefano Travaglia - Pol Martin Tiffon	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Stefano Travaglia - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LWLLL
- Stuart Parker
ATP Challenger
03.11.25	Remy Bertola - Stuart Parker	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Stuart Parker - Mikhail Kukushkin	Kukushkin M. retired ✺
19.10.25	Stuart Parker - Norbert Gombos	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Stuart Parker	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Lucas Poullain - Stuart Parker	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 W?LLW

Stefano Travaglia - Stuart Parker: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide