Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HELSINKI (FINLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Stefano Travaglia		Sumit Nagal

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.88	1.85
	1.96	1.9
	1.76	2.14
	1.8	1.91
	1.94	1.82	Watch
	1.86	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.84)	1.92 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
50.9%

Sumit Nagal
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Stefano Travaglia - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Travaglia will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Nagal will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Travaglia: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Travaglia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nagal is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Travaglia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Travaglia won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
10.11.23	Stefano Travaglia - Radu Albot	2:1 ✺
09.11.23	Stefano Travaglia - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
07.11.23	Liam Broady - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
06.11.23	Stefano Travaglia - Oleksii Krutykh	0:2 ✺
31.10.23	Stefano Travaglia - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWLL
- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
10.11.23	Sumit Nagal - Emil Ruusuvuori	Nagal S. retired ✺
08.11.23	Jakub Mensik - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
07.11.23	Dennis Novak - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
ATP Basel
21.10.23	Sumit Nagal - Dominik Koepfer	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.10.23	Sumit Nagal - Ugo Blanchet	Nagal S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 ?WWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.10.21	Stefano Travaglia - Sumit Nagal	2:1
13.09.21	Stefano Travaglia - Sumit Nagal	2:1
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.21	Stefano Travaglia - Sumit Nagal	2:0
ITF Tournaments
10.09.16	Sumit Nagal - Stefano Travaglia	0:2

Stefano Travaglia - Sumit Nagal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide