Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday


	Stefanos Sakellaridis		Nikolay Vylegzhanin

	1	2
	1.41	2.7	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.42	2.63	Watch
			Watch
	1.38	2.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.52)	2.83 ↑ (2.31)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Sakellaridis
67%

Nikolay Vylegzhanin
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Sakellaridis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefanos Sakellaridis's performance.

Nikolay Vylegzhanin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nikolay Vylegzhanin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefanos Sakellaridis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikolay Vylegzhanin than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nikolay Vylegzhanin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stefanos Sakellaridis - Nikolay Vylegzhanin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakellaridis (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Sakellaridis (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakellaridis (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 303. Vylegzhanin is ranked ATP: 481.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vylegzhanin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sakellaridis might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Nikolay Vylegzhanin - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.69%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Sakellaridis
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Cyril Vandermeersch	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Leo Raquillet	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Thiago Seyboth Wild	Canceled ✺
13.09.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.09.25	Alex Molcan - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WL?LL
- Nikolay Vylegzhanin
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Pierre Antoine Faut - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Felix Corwin - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Patrick Zahraj	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWL

Stefanos Sakellaridis - Nikolay Vylegzhanin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide