Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mouilleron-Le-Captif 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Stefanos Sakellaridis		Cyril Vandermeersch

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Stefanos Sakellaridis
66%

Cyril Vandermeersch
34%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Sakellaridis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Cyril Vandermeersch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cyril Vandermeersch than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 303. Vandermeersch is ranked ATP: 636.

In recent matches, Sakellaridis has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vandermeersch is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sakellaridis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sakellaridis might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Sakellaridis
ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Leo Raquillet	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Thiago Seyboth Wild	Canceled ✺
13.09.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.09.25	Alex Molcan - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Hugo Grenier - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 L?LLW
- Cyril Vandermeersch
ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Norbert Gombos	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.09.25	Maxence Beauge - Cyril Vandermeersch	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Louis Larue	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Adhithya Ganesan - Cyril Vandermeersch	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Axel Garcian - Cyril Vandermeersch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 ?LWWW

Stefanos Sakellaridis - Cyril Vandermeersch