Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rotterdam (Netherlands), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 February 2025, Friday


	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.41	2.85	Watch
	1.46	2.58
	1.49	2.62	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.44	2.8	Watch
	1.39	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.44)	2.8 ↑ (2.74)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
66.2%

Mattia Bellucci
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	0%	19.2%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: Stefanos Tsitsipas will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ European League and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kiel won 3.

Kiel in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Kiel won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 601:597 (average 30.1:29.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Kiel won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 261:264 (average 29:29.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Rotterdam
06.02.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
03.02.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alex Michelsen	1:3 ✺
ATP United Cup
29.12.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
28.12.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLW
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Rotterdam
05.02.25	Mattia Bellucci - Daniil Medvedev	2:1 ✺
03.02.25	Mattia Bellucci - Mees Rottgering	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Mattia Bellucci - Gijs Brouwer	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Mattia Bellucci - Thijs Boogaard	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
30.01.25	Mattia Bellucci - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWL

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