Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: John Cain Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.59	2.38	Watch
	1.59	2.37	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.6	2.49	Watch
	1.59	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.5)	2.39 ↓ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
60.2%

Alex Michelsen
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Tsitsipas will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Michelsen will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tsitsipas: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 11. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 41.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Michelsen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tsitsipas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tsitsipas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Last Results with these Odds

Stefanos Tsitsipas - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 63.67%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP United Cup
29.12.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
28.12.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
Exhibition World Tennis League
21.12.24	Andrey Rublev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:0 ✺
20.12.24	Sumit Nagal - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Canceled ✺
19.12.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Casper Ruud	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWL??
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Auckland
08.01.25	Alex Michelsen - Nishesh Basavareddy	1:2 ✺
07.01.25	Alex Michelsen - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Alex Michelsen - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
ATP Brisbane
01.01.25	Jordan Thompson - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
29.12.24	Alex Michelsen - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Tokyo
25.09.24	Alex Michelsen - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1

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