The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Steve Johnson 33.8%
Alex De Minaur 66.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.5%
72.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.1%
71.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Steve Johnson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Steve Johnson's performance.
Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex De Minaur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Steve Johnson than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Steve Johnson that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex De Minaur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71%
0%
29%
Steve Johnson - Alex De Minaur Predictions
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Johnson will win (votes: 22 - 71%). De Minaur will win (votes: 9 - 29%). Confidence interval (95%) for Johnson: 55% – 87%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.
De Minaur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Johnson is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches De Minaur won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.