Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Sebastian Korda		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
			Watch
	2.48	1.55	Watch
	2.59	1.56
	2.54	1.52	Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.53	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.79)	1.55 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Korda
38.3%

Alex De Minaur
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sebastian Korda - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex De Minaur will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alex De Minaur will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Korda is ranked ATP: 37. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 6.

Korda is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

De Minaur is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

De Minaur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

De Minaur could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that De Minaur will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Korda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Alex De Minaur - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 66.11%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Korda
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Sebastian Korda - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
24.02.26	Sebastian Korda - Mattia Bellucci	Canceled ✺
ATP Delray Beach
22.02.26	Tommy Paul - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Flavio Cobolli - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Sebastian Korda - Casper Ruud	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 W?WWW
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Acapulco
23.02.26	Patrick Kypson - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
15.02.26	Alex De Minaur - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Alex De Minaur - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Alex De Minaur - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Alex De Minaur - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hertogenbosch
16.06.24	Alex De Minaur - Sebastian Korda	2:0
ATP Rotterdam
13.02.24	Alex De Minaur - Sebastian Korda	2:0
ATP Paris
31.10.22	Sebastian Korda - Alex De Minaur	1:2
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.21	Sebastian Korda - Alex De Minaur	3:1

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