Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: NEWPORT (USA), GRASS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 19 July 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
France	beIN Sports
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Steve Johnson		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3.1	1.37
	3	1.38
	3.17	1.41
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.04	1.38	Watch
	2.9	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.42)	1.39 ↑ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Steve Johnson
31.2%

Ugo Humbert
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Steve Johnson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Steve Johnson than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	0%	26.7%

Steve Johnson - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Johnson will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Humbert will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Johnson: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Johnson is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Humbert is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Johnson could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Humbert is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Steve Johnson
ATP Newport
18.07.23	Yunseong Chung - Steve Johnson	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.07.23	Nishesh Basavareddy - Steve Johnson	2:1 ✺
09.07.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Steve Johnson	1:2 ✺
08.07.23	Tristan Schoolkate - Steve Johnson	0:2 ✺
07.07.23	Steve Johnson - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWW
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.23	Jason Kubler - Ugo Humbert	3:2 ✺
ATP London
19.06.23	Ugo Humbert - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
14.06.23	Ugo Humbert - Emil Ruusuvuori	1:2 ✺
12.06.23	Ugo Humbert - Jason Kubler	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Ugo Humbert	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL

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