Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Eastbourne, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 June 2025, Wednesday


	Lorenzo Sonego		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53	Watch
			Watch
	2.45	1.62
			Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.51	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.35)	1.55 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
38.4%

Ugo Humbert
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Lorenzo Sonego - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Humbert will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Sonego (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lorenzo Sonego will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sonego (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 48. Humbert is ranked ATP: 20.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sonego won 2.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Humbert may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Humbert will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sonego won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Eastbourne
23.06.25	Fabian Marozsan - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
ATP Halle
19.06.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
17.06.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
10.06.25	Quentin Halys - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Ben Shelton - Lorenzo Sonego	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLL
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Halle
17.06.25	Ugo Humbert - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
14.06.25	Gabriel Diallo - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
13.06.25	Nuno Borges - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Daniel Evans - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Jacob Fearnley - Ugo Humbert	Humbert U. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marseille
14.02.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Ugo Humbert	0:2
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.24	Ugo Humbert - Lorenzo Sonego	1:3
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Ugo Humbert	1:2
ATP Beijing
28.09.23	Ugo Humbert - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Ugo Humbert	3:0
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Ugo Humbert - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2
ATP Toronto
09.08.21	Lorenzo Sonego - Ugo Humbert	0:2

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